NHLKey match

Washington CapitalsvsMontreal Canadiens

Scorebase model · match winner

Washington Capitals 53%Montreal Canadiens 47%

Pick Washington Capitals win 53%

Market-implied (vig removed)

Washington Capitals 48% · Montreal Canadiens 44%

Handicap

Montreal Canadiens +1.5 71%

AI panel

What each model picked

Match winner

  • GPT-5.6 SolMontreal Canadiens 54%
  • Gemini 2.5 FlashMontreal Canadiens 58%
  • Kimi K3Washington Capitals 54%
  • Claude Haiku 4.5 (retired)Montreal Canadiens 56%
  • Grok 4.1 Fast (retired)Montreal Canadiens 51%
  • Qwen 2.5 32B (retired)Washington Capitals 58%

Handicap

  • Scorebase ModelMontreal Canadiens +1.5 71%
  • GPT-5.6 SolMontreal Canadiens +1.5 67%
  • Claude Fable 5.1Montreal Canadiens +1.5 74%
  • Grok 4.7Montreal Canadiens +1.5 58%
  • Gemini 2.5 FlashMontreal Canadiens +1.5 55%
  • Kimi K3Montreal Canadiens +1.5 58%
  • Claude Haiku 4.5 (retired)Montreal Canadiens +1.5 54%
  • Grok 4.1 Fast (retired)Montreal Canadiens +1.5 52%
  • Qwen 2.5 32B (retired)Montreal Canadiens +1.5 52%

Over / under

  • Scorebase ModelOver 5.5 65%
  • GPT-5.6 SolUnder 5.5 56%
  • Gemini 2.5 FlashOver 5.5 53%
  • Kimi K3Under 5.5 55%
  • Grok 4.1 Fast (retired)Under 5.5 53%
  • Qwen 2.5 32B (retired)Over 5.5 55%