AI sports predictions for today's key matches
Win probabilities for football, NBA, MLB and NHL from a calibrated statistical model, checked against the market and a panel of AI models. Every pick is timestamped before kick-off and graded on the result.
Today's key matches
The 5 fixtures worth your attention
IntervsFiorentina
Athletic ClubvsGetafe
Crystal PalacevsNewcastle
Utah JazzvsLos Angeles Lakers
New York KnicksvsOrlando Magic
Today's previews
Inter vs Fiorentina prediction: home form meets defensive crisis
Inter arrive as overwhelming favourites at the San Siro, with the model assigning them an 80% win probability against a Fiorentina side languishing in 18th place. The decisive factor is Inter's fortress home record—unbeaten in four matches at 3.00 points per game—set against Fiorentina's fragile away form (1.00 ppg) and a mounting injury crisis that has depleted both sides but hits the visitors harder.
Athletic Club vs Getafe prediction: home form edge outweighs Getafe's rest advantage
Athletic Club enters as clear favourites at 54% to win, a gap of 7 percentage points over the market's implied 61%, suggesting the model sees value in backing the hosts despite their injury crisis. The decisive factor will be Getafe's alarming away record—0 wins from 4 matches this season—pitched against Athletic Club's superior home form and attacking output, though both sides arrive depleted and the model leans toward a low-scoring contest.
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle prediction: home form under strain
Newcastle edge this fixture in the model's assessment, but only just. The visitors hold a 35% win probability against Crystal Palace's 39%, a gap so narrow that home advantage and recent momentum become the deciding factors. Both sides arrive depleted and inconsistent; the question is which injury list hurts more, and whether Palace's unbeaten run at Selhurst Park can survive Newcastle's improved away record.
Utah Jazz vs Los Angeles Lakers prediction: Lakers' depth too strong for Jazz rebuild
The Los Angeles Lakers arrive in Salt Lake City as overwhelming favourites, with the model assigning them a 91% win probability against a Utah Jazz side that has won just once this season. The decisive factor will be the Lakers' offensive firepower: they are averaging 126.0 points per game this season, compared to the Jazz's 111.5, and that 14.5-point gap in scoring efficiency is the core reason why Los Angeles should prevail despite playing away from home.
Knicks vs Magic prediction: Knicks favoured despite early-season struggles
The New York Knicks enter as heavy favourites at home, with the model assigning them a 95% win probability against the Orlando Magic's 5%. Both teams have stumbled to 0–2 starts, but the Knicks' superior Elo rating of 1878 versus Magic's 1543 reflects a significant underlying quality gap—one the model trusts far more than the market does. The deciding factor will be whether New York can arrest its offensive decline at Madison Square Garden, where they have managed just 101.5 points per game so far this season.
Selected automatically: big-league fixtures first, then strong model picks, AI-panel coverage and market data. At most 5 per day.
Football predictions today
Premier League, Champions League, LaLiga and more
Football predictions come with three-way probabilities (home, draw, away), an over/under 2.5 goals lean and a handicap line. Each league page lists the coming week's fixtures with the model's recent hit rate for that competition.
NBA · MLB · NHL predictions
Two-way win probabilities for US leagues
Basketball, baseball and hockey have no draw, so the prediction is a single win probability per side. Baseball uses a Poisson runs model with the listed starters; basketball and hockey use Elo win expectancy with home advantage.
Win probability, explained
A 50/50 match stays 50/50.
Most prediction sites show 85% or 90% confidence on single picks. The maths does not support that. A clear favourite in the Premier League wins roughly two matches in three, and a tight derby is close to a coin flip once the draw is counted. Our probabilities are calibrated to the real variance of each sport, and the calibration is checked on the accuracy page. When the model disagrees with the bookmaker market we show both numbers and the gap, so you can see where the edge is supposed to be.
54% match-winner accuracy over 10,972 graded fixtures
FAQ
Questions people ask about sports predictions
What is an AI sports prediction?
A probability for each outcome of a match, produced by a statistical model rather than a pundit. On this site the model combines Elo team ratings with margin of victory, a Dixon-Coles goal model for football and market-implied odds with the bookmaker margin removed.
How accurate are the predictions?
It depends on the league. Match-winner accuracy across graded fixtures is published on the accuracy page and updated as results come in. A 55% hit rate in football is normal because draws are hard to call. We show the real number, not a marketing one.
Which sports and leagues are covered?
Football (Premier League, LaLiga, Bundesliga, Serie A, Ligue 1, Champions League, MLS, K League 1), basketball (NBA), baseball (MLB, KBO, NPB) and ice hockey (NHL).
Why only a few matches per day?
We publish the handful of fixtures where the model, the market and the AI panel all have something to say. Bulk-generated pages for every kick-off add noise and nothing else. Every other fixture is still listed on the today page.
Is this a betting tips service?
No. There are no tips, no VIP plans and no bonus offers. Probabilities are shown so you can judge a match for yourself. A prediction can be wrong on any single game.
Do I need an account?
No. Everything on the site is free and open, including the full accuracy record.