AI sports predictions for today's key matches
Win probabilities for football, NBA, MLB and NHL from a calibrated statistical model, checked against the market and a panel of AI models. Every pick is timestamped before kick-off and graded on the result.
Today's key matches
The 5 fixtures worth your attention
ArsenalvsLeeds
1899 HoffenheimvsHamburger SV
FC AugsburgvsBayern München
BarcelonavsGetafe
Real MadridvsVillarreal
Today's previews
Arsenal vs Leeds prediction: home form and injury depth favour the Gunners
Arsenal enter as clear favourites at 69% to win, a 4-point gap over the market's implied probability that reflects genuine underlying strength. Leeds arrive unbeaten in five but without a win in that run, and their away record—just one victory from three trips—offers little comfort against a side that has won both home games this season. The deciding factor will be whether Arsenal's injury-ravaged defence can maintain its miserly 0.8 goals-conceded average, or whether Leeds' attacking threat, led by Dominic Calvert-Lewin's three goals, can exploit the absences.
Augsburg vs Bayern: Munich's away form tested by depleted hosts
Bayern München arrive as overwhelming favourites at 70% in the model's assessment, a gap of 12 percentage points over the market's 82%, suggesting the bookmakers rate this as a more one-sided affair than the underlying data supports. The decisive factor will be whether Augsburg's home record—unbeaten with 2.00 points per game—can withstand Bayern's superior squad depth and current four-match unbeaten streak, particularly given both sides' injury lists.
Barcelona vs Getafe prediction: Hosts' perfect form meets toothless visitors
Barcelona arrive as overwhelming favourites at 84% to win, with the market even more bullish at 89%. The decisive factor is Getafe's complete inability to score away from home this season—zero goals across three road matches—against a Barcelona side averaging 4.8 goals per game over their last five outings. Even with Barcelona's injury list, the gulf in current form and attacking threat makes a home victory the clear expectation.
Selected automatically: big-league fixtures first, then strong model picks, AI-panel coverage and market data. At most 5 per day.
Football predictions today
Premier League, Champions League, LaLiga and more
Football predictions come with three-way probabilities (home, draw, away), an over/under 2.5 goals lean and a handicap line. Each league page lists the coming week's fixtures with the model's recent hit rate for that competition.
NBA · MLB · NHL predictions
Two-way win probabilities for US leagues
Basketball, baseball and hockey have no draw, so the prediction is a single win probability per side. Baseball uses a Poisson runs model with the listed starters; basketball and hockey use Elo win expectancy with home advantage.
Win probability, explained
A 50/50 match stays 50/50.
Most prediction sites show 85% or 90% confidence on single picks. The maths does not support that. A clear favourite in the Premier League wins roughly two matches in three, and a tight derby is close to a coin flip once the draw is counted. Our probabilities are calibrated to the real variance of each sport, and the calibration is checked on the accuracy page. When the model disagrees with the bookmaker market we show both numbers and the gap, so you can see where the edge is supposed to be.
54% match-winner accuracy over 10,604 graded fixtures
FAQ
Questions people ask about sports predictions
What is an AI sports prediction?
A probability for each outcome of a match, produced by a statistical model rather than a pundit. On this site the model combines Elo team ratings with margin of victory, a Dixon-Coles goal model for football and market-implied odds with the bookmaker margin removed.
How accurate are the predictions?
It depends on the league. Match-winner accuracy across graded fixtures is published on the accuracy page and updated as results come in. A 55% hit rate in football is normal because draws are hard to call. We show the real number, not a marketing one.
Which sports and leagues are covered?
Football (Premier League, LaLiga, Bundesliga, Serie A, Ligue 1, Champions League, MLS, K League 1), basketball (NBA), baseball (MLB, KBO, NPB) and ice hockey (NHL).
Why only a few matches per day?
We publish the handful of fixtures where the model, the market and the AI panel all have something to say. Bulk-generated pages for every kick-off add noise and nothing else. Every other fixture is still listed on the today page.
Is this a betting tips service?
No. There are no tips, no VIP plans and no bonus offers. Probabilities are shown so you can judge a match for yourself. A prediction can be wrong on any single game.
Do I need an account?
No. Everything on the site is free and open, including the full accuracy record.