AI sports predictions for today's key matches
Win probabilities for football, NBA, MLB and NHL from a calibrated statistical model, checked against the market and a panel of AI models. Every pick is timestamped before kick-off and graded on the result.
Today's key matches
The 5 fixtures worth your attention
Today's previews
Flyers vs Avalanche prediction: Colorado's depth too much for struggling hosts
Colorado arrive in Philadelphia as clear favourites, with the model assessing their chances at 63% compared to the Flyers' 37%. The Avalanche's superior depth, form and road record make them the pick, though Philadelphia's home ice and recent uptick in results offer some resistance to that narrative.
Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha prediction: home form meets away crisis
Fenerbahçe are clear favourites at 59% to beat a Slavia Praha side in freefall, but the Turkish hosts have stumbled recently and cannot afford complacency. The decisive factor will be whether Fenerbahçe's superior home record and squad depth can overcome their own loss to Slavia's complete inability to function away from home—the visitors have yet to score a goal on the road this season.
Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund: Model backs home upset
Borussia Dortmund enter as heavy market favourites at 74% to win, yet the model sees genuine value in Sabah FA's home advantage and superior season form, backing the Azerbaijani side at 45%. The decisive factor is Dortmund's catastrophic away record—zero points from one match—set against Sabah's perfect home record of five wins from five, a stark contrast that underpins the model's contrarian lean.
Selected automatically: big-league fixtures first, then strong model picks, AI-panel coverage and market data. At most 5 per day.
Football predictions today
Premier League, Champions League, LaLiga and more
Football predictions come with three-way probabilities (home, draw, away), an over/under 2.5 goals lean and a handicap line. Each league page lists the coming week's fixtures with the model's recent hit rate for that competition.
NBA · MLB · NHL predictions
Two-way win probabilities for US leagues
Basketball, baseball and hockey have no draw, so the prediction is a single win probability per side. Baseball uses a Poisson runs model with the listed starters; basketball and hockey use Elo win expectancy with home advantage.
Win probability, explained
A 50/50 match stays 50/50.
Most prediction sites show 85% or 90% confidence on single picks. The maths does not support that. A clear favourite in the Premier League wins roughly two matches in three, and a tight derby is close to a coin flip once the draw is counted. Our probabilities are calibrated to the real variance of each sport, and the calibration is checked on the accuracy page. When the model disagrees with the bookmaker market we show both numbers and the gap, so you can see where the edge is supposed to be.
54% match-winner accuracy over 10,871 graded fixtures
FAQ
Questions people ask about sports predictions
What is an AI sports prediction?
A probability for each outcome of a match, produced by a statistical model rather than a pundit. On this site the model combines Elo team ratings with margin of victory, a Dixon-Coles goal model for football and market-implied odds with the bookmaker margin removed.
How accurate are the predictions?
It depends on the league. Match-winner accuracy across graded fixtures is published on the accuracy page and updated as results come in. A 55% hit rate in football is normal because draws are hard to call. We show the real number, not a marketing one.
Which sports and leagues are covered?
Football (Premier League, LaLiga, Bundesliga, Serie A, Ligue 1, Champions League, MLS, K League 1), basketball (NBA), baseball (MLB, KBO, NPB) and ice hockey (NHL).
Why only a few matches per day?
We publish the handful of fixtures where the model, the market and the AI panel all have something to say. Bulk-generated pages for every kick-off add noise and nothing else. Every other fixture is still listed on the today page.
Is this a betting tips service?
No. There are no tips, no VIP plans and no bonus offers. Probabilities are shown so you can judge a match for yourself. A prediction can be wrong on any single game.
Do I need an account?
No. Everything on the site is free and open, including the full accuracy record.