AI sports predictions for today's key matches
Win probabilities for football, NBA, MLB and NHL from a calibrated statistical model, checked against the market and a panel of AI models. Every pick is timestamped before kick-off and graded on the result.
Today's key matches
The 5 fixtures worth your attention
Le HavrevsParis Saint Germain
Villarreal CFvsRCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Washington WizardsvsCharlotte Hornets
Florida PanthersvsWinnipeg Jets
Boston CelticsvsChicago Bulls
Today's previews
Le Havre vs Paris Saint-Germain prediction: PSG's form too strong to ignore
Paris Saint-Germain arrive at Stade Océane as overwhelming favourites, with the model assigning them a 73% win probability against a Le Havre side languishing in 18th place with just two points from eight matches. PSG's five-game winning streak, combined with Le Havre's four-game losing run, creates a stark gulf in momentum that should determine the outcome—though the visitors' injury list is notably longer than their hosts'.
Villarreal vs Espanyol prediction: home form fragility meets visitor crisis
Villarreal enters as clear favourites at 63% to win, a 4-point gap over the market's 67% assessment that suggests modest underlying value in the model's pick. The decisive factor will be whether Villarreal can convert their superior Elo rating (1557 to 1430) into three points at home, where they have won just once in five matches—a vulnerability Espanyol, despite their own struggles, may exploit if the hosts' injury-ravaged defence cannot maintain discipline.
Wizards vs Hornets prediction: Model backs Charlotte despite market scepticism
Charlotte Hornets arrive in Washington as clear favourites in the model's assessment, which gives them a 76% win probability—a gap of 28 percentage points over the hosts. The market, however, is far more cautious, implying a near-even contest at 48% for Charlotte. That divergence is the story here: the model sees a team with a substantially superior Elo rating (1605 to 1158) capitalising on poor Washington form, whilst bookmakers price the Hornets' away record and recent stumble as reasons to tighten the spread.
Florida Panthers vs Winnipeg Jets prediction: home form and rest edge
Florida Panthers are favoured at 68% by the model, a 6-percentage-point edge over the market's 62%, with the decisive factor being the Jets' catastrophic seven-game losing streak colliding against a Panthers side that has won two straight at home and enjoyed three days' rest compared to Winnipeg's one. The model sees value in backing the home side despite a season record of 7W–6L, because form, venue and recovery time all align sharply in Florida's favour.
Selected automatically: big-league fixtures first, then strong model picks, AI-panel coverage and market data. At most 5 per day.
Football predictions today
Premier League, Champions League, LaLiga and more
Football predictions come with three-way probabilities (home, draw, away), an over/under 2.5 goals lean and a handicap line. Each league page lists the coming week's fixtures with the model's recent hit rate for that competition.
NBA · MLB · NHL predictions
Two-way win probabilities for US leagues
Basketball, baseball and hockey have no draw, so the prediction is a single win probability per side. Baseball uses a Poisson runs model with the listed starters; basketball and hockey use Elo win expectancy with home advantage.
Win probability, explained
A 50/50 match stays 50/50.
Most prediction sites show 85% or 90% confidence on single picks. The maths does not support that. A clear favourite in the Premier League wins roughly two matches in three, and a tight derby is close to a coin flip once the draw is counted. Our probabilities are calibrated to the real variance of each sport, and the calibration is checked on the accuracy page. When the model disagrees with the bookmaker market we show both numbers and the gap, so you can see where the edge is supposed to be.
54% match-winner accuracy over 11,133 graded fixtures
FAQ
Questions people ask about sports predictions
What is an AI sports prediction?
A probability for each outcome of a match, produced by a statistical model rather than a pundit. On this site the model combines Elo team ratings with margin of victory, a Dixon-Coles goal model for football and market-implied odds with the bookmaker margin removed.
How accurate are the predictions?
It depends on the league. Match-winner accuracy across graded fixtures is published on the accuracy page and updated as results come in. A 55% hit rate in football is normal because draws are hard to call. We show the real number, not a marketing one.
Which sports and leagues are covered?
Football (Premier League, LaLiga, Bundesliga, Serie A, Ligue 1, Champions League, MLS, K League 1), basketball (NBA), baseball (MLB, KBO, NPB) and ice hockey (NHL).
Why only a few matches per day?
We publish the handful of fixtures where the model, the market and the AI panel all have something to say. Bulk-generated pages for every kick-off add noise and nothing else. Every other fixture is still listed on the today page.
Is this a betting tips service?
No. There are no tips, no VIP plans and no bonus offers. Probabilities are shown so you can judge a match for yourself. A prediction can be wrong on any single game.
Do I need an account?
No. Everything on the site is free and open, including the full accuracy record.