AI sports predictions for today's key matches
Win probabilities for football, NBA, MLB and NHL from a calibrated statistical model, checked against the market and a panel of AI models. Every pick is timestamped before kick-off and graded on the result.
Today's key matches
The 5 fixtures worth your attention
Washington WizardsvsHouston Rockets
Philadelphia FlyersvsEdmonton Oilers
Milwaukee BucksvsAtlanta Hawks
Vegas Golden KnightsvsVancouver Canucks
Today's previews
Flyers vs Oilers prediction: Edmonton's form too strong to ignore
Edmonton arrive in Philadelphia as clear favourites, with the model assigning them a 57% win probability against a Flyers side struggling near the foot of the table. The Oilers have won four consecutive matches and are averaging 3.0 goals per game across their last five outings, whilst the Flyers sit 29th with just 18 points from 22 games. The decisive factor will be whether Philadelphia can generate sustained offensive pressure at home—a task made harder by their recent inability to convert chances into wins.
Vegas Golden Knights vs Vancouver Canucks prediction: home form meets losing streak
Vegas are heavy favourites at 78% model probability, a four-point gap over the market's 74%, because they combine elite home form, a seven-game winning streak and a 334-point Elo advantage against a Canucks side in freefall. The deciding factor is Vancouver's road record: they have won just twice in eleven away matches this season, averaging 0.55 points per game on the road. That structural weakness, combined with their current seven-game losing streak, makes them vulnerable to a Vegas side that has lost only once at home in 11 games.
Selected automatically: big-league fixtures first, then strong model picks, AI-panel coverage and market data. At most 5 per day.
Football predictions today
Premier League, Champions League, LaLiga and more
Football predictions come with three-way probabilities (home, draw, away), an over/under 2.5 goals lean and a handicap line. Each league page lists the coming week's fixtures with the model's recent hit rate for that competition.
NBA · MLB · NHL predictions
Two-way win probabilities for US leagues
Basketball, baseball and hockey have no draw, so the prediction is a single win probability per side. Baseball uses a Poisson runs model with the listed starters; basketball and hockey use Elo win expectancy with home advantage.
Win probability, explained
A 50/50 match stays 50/50.
Most prediction sites show 85% or 90% confidence on single picks. The maths does not support that. A clear favourite in the Premier League wins roughly two matches in three, and a tight derby is close to a coin flip once the draw is counted. Our probabilities are calibrated to the real variance of each sport, and the calibration is checked on the accuracy page. When the model disagrees with the bookmaker market we show both numbers and the gap, so you can see where the edge is supposed to be.
55% match-winner accuracy over 11,579 graded fixtures
FAQ
Questions people ask about sports predictions
What is an AI sports prediction?
A probability for each outcome of a match, produced by a statistical model rather than a pundit. On this site the model combines Elo team ratings with margin of victory, a Dixon-Coles goal model for football and market-implied odds with the bookmaker margin removed.
How accurate are the predictions?
It depends on the league. Match-winner accuracy across graded fixtures is published on the accuracy page and updated as results come in. A 55% hit rate in football is normal because draws are hard to call. We show the real number, not a marketing one.
Which sports and leagues are covered?
Football (Premier League, LaLiga, Bundesliga, Serie A, Ligue 1, Champions League, MLS, K League 1), basketball (NBA), baseball (MLB, KBO, NPB) and ice hockey (NHL).
Why only a few matches per day?
We publish the handful of fixtures where the model, the market and the AI panel all have something to say. Bulk-generated pages for every kick-off add noise and nothing else. Every other fixture is still listed on the today page.
Is this a betting tips service?
No. There are no tips, no VIP plans and no bonus offers. Probabilities are shown so you can judge a match for yourself. A prediction can be wrong on any single game.
Do I need an account?
No. Everything on the site is free and open, including the full accuracy record.