AI sports predictions for today's key matches
Win probabilities for football, NBA, MLB and NHL from a calibrated statistical model, checked against the market and a panel of AI models. Every pick is timestamped before kick-off and graded on the result.
Today's key matches
The 5 fixtures worth your attention
Paris Saint GermainvsLyon
Sevilla FCvsCA Osasuna
Charlotte HornetsvsWashington Wizards
Boston CelticsvsChicago Bulls
Calgary FlamesvsToronto Maple Leafs
Today's previews
PSG vs Lyon prediction: home form edge in injury-hit clash
Paris Saint-Germain are favoured to win at 59 per cent according to the model, a clear 11-point gap over the market's 70 per cent assessment. The deciding factor will be whether PSG's depleted attacking ranks—missing Dembélé, Kvaratskhelia and Mendes—can maintain their four-match winning streak against a Lyon side that has won just one of their last five.
Sevilla vs Osasuna prediction: home form meets injury crisis
Sevilla are favoured at home with a 49% model win probability against Osasuna's 25%, yet the hosts arrive depleted by six absences including a red-card suspension, whilst Osasuna have won their last match and conceded 2.4 goals per game across their last five outings—a vulnerability that may prove decisive in an encounter where both sides have shown defensive fragility.
Charlotte Hornets vs Washington Wizards prediction: home edge in thin sample
Charlotte Hornets are heavy favourites at home, with the model backing them at 100% to win outright and 65% to cover the -5.5 handicap. The market is far more cautious, pricing the Hornets at just 53%, a 47-percentage-point gap that reflects genuine uncertainty. Both teams have identical records after three matches, but the Hornets' Elo advantage of 451 points and stronger defensive profile suggest Charlotte should prevail—though the season sample remains dangerously thin for confident prediction.
Boston Celtics vs Chicago Bulls prediction: home form meets offensive fragility
Boston arrive as heavy 89% favourites in a matchup where the Celtics' home-court edge and defensive solidity should prove decisive against a Bulls side struggling to contain opponents. The model's 5.5-point handicap pick hinges on one central tension: whether Chicago's superior offensive output in recent games can translate on the road against a Boston team that has looked sharp at home, or whether the Celtics' 406-point ELO advantage and perfect home record will simply overwhelm a visiting side that has conceded 128 points per game across their last five outings.
Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs: Visitor form edges home ice
Toronto arrive in Calgary as the sharper team on paper, riding a four-game winning streak and averaging 4.4 goals per game in their last five outings. Yet the model gives Calgary a 52% win probability at home—a modest edge that reflects genuine uncertainty. The deciding factor will be whether Toronto's offensive potency (1.80 points per game on the road this season) can overcome Calgary's steadier recent form and home-ice advantage.
Selected automatically: big-league fixtures first, then strong model picks, AI-panel coverage and market data. At most 5 per day.
Football predictions today
Premier League, Champions League, LaLiga and more
Football predictions come with three-way probabilities (home, draw, away), an over/under 2.5 goals lean and a handicap line. Each league page lists the coming week's fixtures with the model's recent hit rate for that competition.
NBA · MLB · NHL predictions
Two-way win probabilities for US leagues
Basketball, baseball and hockey have no draw, so the prediction is a single win probability per side. Baseball uses a Poisson runs model with the listed starters; basketball and hockey use Elo win expectancy with home advantage.
Win probability, explained
A 50/50 match stays 50/50.
Most prediction sites show 85% or 90% confidence on single picks. The maths does not support that. A clear favourite in the Premier League wins roughly two matches in three, and a tight derby is close to a coin flip once the draw is counted. Our probabilities are calibrated to the real variance of each sport, and the calibration is checked on the accuracy page. When the model disagrees with the bookmaker market we show both numbers and the gap, so you can see where the edge is supposed to be.
54% match-winner accuracy over 11,020 graded fixtures
FAQ
Questions people ask about sports predictions
What is an AI sports prediction?
A probability for each outcome of a match, produced by a statistical model rather than a pundit. On this site the model combines Elo team ratings with margin of victory, a Dixon-Coles goal model for football and market-implied odds with the bookmaker margin removed.
How accurate are the predictions?
It depends on the league. Match-winner accuracy across graded fixtures is published on the accuracy page and updated as results come in. A 55% hit rate in football is normal because draws are hard to call. We show the real number, not a marketing one.
Which sports and leagues are covered?
Football (Premier League, LaLiga, Bundesliga, Serie A, Ligue 1, Champions League, MLS, K League 1), basketball (NBA), baseball (MLB, KBO, NPB) and ice hockey (NHL).
Why only a few matches per day?
We publish the handful of fixtures where the model, the market and the AI panel all have something to say. Bulk-generated pages for every kick-off add noise and nothing else. Every other fixture is still listed on the today page.
Is this a betting tips service?
No. There are no tips, no VIP plans and no bonus offers. Probabilities are shown so you can judge a match for yourself. A prediction can be wrong on any single game.
Do I need an account?
No. Everything on the site is free and open, including the full accuracy record.