AI sports predictions for today's key matches
Win probabilities for football, NBA, MLB and NHL from a calibrated statistical model, checked against the market and a panel of AI models. Every pick is timestamped before kick-off and graded on the result.
Today's key matches
The 5 fixtures worth your attention
ChelseavsManchester United
LevantevsAtletico Madrid
Real BetisvsMalaga
Utah JazzvsPortland Trail Blazers
New Orleans PelicansvsAtlanta Hawks
Today's previews
Real Betis vs Málaga prediction: home form meets crisis away
Real Betis are heavy favourites at 69% according to the model, a gap of three percentage points over the market's 72% assessment. The deciding factor is Málaga's catastrophic away record—0 wins in 5 matches this season—colliding with Betis's fortress home form, where they have won four of their last five. Even accounting for Real Betis's injury list, which includes six unavailable players, the underlying quality gap is too wide for Málaga to bridge.
Utah Jazz vs Portland Trail Blazers prediction: Model sees blowout risk
Portland Trail Blazers are overwhelming favourites at 97% according to the model, a 30-point gap over the market's 67% assessment. The deciding factor is Utah's catastrophic defensive form: they are conceding 120.2 points per game this season whilst Portland score 122.8, a combination that historically produces blowouts when the better team visits a struggling home side.
Pelicans vs Hawks prediction: Atlanta's depth advantage too stark
Atlanta enters the Smoothie King Center as heavy favourites, with the model assigning them an 80% win probability against a New Orleans side struggling to find consistency. The Hawks' superior Elo rating of 1567 versus the Pelicans' 1340 reflects a 227-point gap—one of the largest disparities on this slate. The decisive factor is Atlanta's defensive efficiency: they are conceding 112.4 points per game over their last five matches, whilst New Orleans has managed only 119.4 points in that same stretch, a gap that will prove difficult to overcome on a night when both teams enter with identical rest.
Selected automatically: big-league fixtures first, then strong model picks, AI-panel coverage and market data. At most 5 per day.
Football predictions today
Premier League, Champions League, LaLiga and more
Football predictions come with three-way probabilities (home, draw, away), an over/under 2.5 goals lean and a handicap line. Each league page lists the coming week's fixtures with the model's recent hit rate for that competition.
NBA · MLB · NHL predictions
Two-way win probabilities for US leagues
Basketball, baseball and hockey have no draw, so the prediction is a single win probability per side. Baseball uses a Poisson runs model with the listed starters; basketball and hockey use Elo win expectancy with home advantage.
Win probability, explained
A 50/50 match stays 50/50.
Most prediction sites show 85% or 90% confidence on single picks. The maths does not support that. A clear favourite in the Premier League wins roughly two matches in three, and a tight derby is close to a coin flip once the draw is counted. Our probabilities are calibrated to the real variance of each sport, and the calibration is checked on the accuracy page. When the model disagrees with the bookmaker market we show both numbers and the gap, so you can see where the edge is supposed to be.
54% match-winner accuracy over 11,150 graded fixtures
FAQ
Questions people ask about sports predictions
What is an AI sports prediction?
A probability for each outcome of a match, produced by a statistical model rather than a pundit. On this site the model combines Elo team ratings with margin of victory, a Dixon-Coles goal model for football and market-implied odds with the bookmaker margin removed.
How accurate are the predictions?
It depends on the league. Match-winner accuracy across graded fixtures is published on the accuracy page and updated as results come in. A 55% hit rate in football is normal because draws are hard to call. We show the real number, not a marketing one.
Which sports and leagues are covered?
Football (Premier League, LaLiga, Bundesliga, Serie A, Ligue 1, Champions League, MLS, K League 1), basketball (NBA), baseball (MLB, KBO, NPB) and ice hockey (NHL).
Why only a few matches per day?
We publish the handful of fixtures where the model, the market and the AI panel all have something to say. Bulk-generated pages for every kick-off add noise and nothing else. Every other fixture is still listed on the today page.
Is this a betting tips service?
No. There are no tips, no VIP plans and no bonus offers. Probabilities are shown so you can judge a match for yourself. A prediction can be wrong on any single game.
Do I need an account?
No. Everything on the site is free and open, including the full accuracy record.