AI sports predictions for today's key matches
Win probabilities for football, NBA, MLB and NHL from a calibrated statistical model, checked against the market and a panel of AI models. Every pick is timestamped before kick-off and graded on the result.
Today's key matches
The 5 fixtures worth your attention
Detroit PistonsvsWashington Wizards
Toronto RaptorsvsMemphis Grizzlies
Edmonton OilersvsNew York Rangers
Vancouver CanucksvsPhiladelphia Flyers
Today's previews
Detroit Pistons vs Washington Wizards: Pistons' form meets Wizards' struggles
Detroit arrive as overwhelming favourites at home, with the model assigning them a 99% win probability against a Washington side languishing in the bottom third of the Eastern Conference. The Pistons have climbed to 10th in the table on the back of a 6–3 record this season, whilst Washington sit 19th with just 4 wins from 10 matches. The decisive factor here is form: Detroit have won three of their last five, whilst Washington have lost three consecutive and conceded 109.2 points per game over that stretch—a defensive fragility the Pistons' 110.6-point average should exploit.
Edmonton Oilers vs New York Rangers prediction: home form meets Rangers' hot streak
Edmonton are favoured at 59% by the model, a five-point gap over the market's 54%, because the Oilers' dominant home record and superior Elo rating (1525 to 1474) outweigh New York's recent three-game winning run. The decisive factor is whether Edmonton can impose their home-ice advantage—they average 1.50 points per game at Rogers Place—against a Rangers side that has won three straight but remains fragile on the road, averaging just 0.75 points per game away from Madison Square Garden.
Vancouver vs Philadelphia prediction: Flyers favoured despite road woes
Philadelphia enters as clear favourites at 61% model probability, a 22-point edge over Vancouver, yet both teams arrive in freefall—the Canucks have lost five straight, whilst the Flyers have won just once in their last five. The decisive factor will be whether Philadelphia's superior underlying strength (ELO rating of 1446 versus Vancouver's 1270) translates to points despite playing on the road, where they have managed only 0.33 points per game this season.
Selected automatically: big-league fixtures first, then strong model picks, AI-panel coverage and market data. At most 5 per day.
Football predictions today
Premier League, Champions League, LaLiga and more
Football predictions come with three-way probabilities (home, draw, away), an over/under 2.5 goals lean and a handicap line. Each league page lists the coming week's fixtures with the model's recent hit rate for that competition.
NBA · MLB · NHL predictions
Two-way win probabilities for US leagues
Basketball, baseball and hockey have no draw, so the prediction is a single win probability per side. Baseball uses a Poisson runs model with the listed starters; basketball and hockey use Elo win expectancy with home advantage.
Win probability, explained
A 50/50 match stays 50/50.
Most prediction sites show 85% or 90% confidence on single picks. The maths does not support that. A clear favourite in the Premier League wins roughly two matches in three, and a tight derby is close to a coin flip once the draw is counted. Our probabilities are calibrated to the real variance of each sport, and the calibration is checked on the accuracy page. When the model disagrees with the bookmaker market we show both numbers and the gap, so you can see where the edge is supposed to be.
55% match-winner accuracy over 11,498 graded fixtures
FAQ
Questions people ask about sports predictions
What is an AI sports prediction?
A probability for each outcome of a match, produced by a statistical model rather than a pundit. On this site the model combines Elo team ratings with margin of victory, a Dixon-Coles goal model for football and market-implied odds with the bookmaker margin removed.
How accurate are the predictions?
It depends on the league. Match-winner accuracy across graded fixtures is published on the accuracy page and updated as results come in. A 55% hit rate in football is normal because draws are hard to call. We show the real number, not a marketing one.
Which sports and leagues are covered?
Football (Premier League, LaLiga, Bundesliga, Serie A, Ligue 1, Champions League, MLS, K League 1), basketball (NBA), baseball (MLB, KBO, NPB) and ice hockey (NHL).
Why only a few matches per day?
We publish the handful of fixtures where the model, the market and the AI panel all have something to say. Bulk-generated pages for every kick-off add noise and nothing else. Every other fixture is still listed on the today page.
Is this a betting tips service?
No. There are no tips, no VIP plans and no bonus offers. Probabilities are shown so you can judge a match for yourself. A prediction can be wrong on any single game.
Do I need an account?
No. Everything on the site is free and open, including the full accuracy record.