AI sports predictions for today's key matches
Win probabilities for football, NBA, MLB and NHL from a calibrated statistical model, checked against the market and a panel of AI models. Every pick is timestamped before kick-off and graded on the result.
Today's key matches
The 5 fixtures worth your attention
New York YankeesvsBoston Red Sox
Hanshin TigersvsTokyo Yakult Swallows
SSG LandersvsLG Twins
Doosan BearsvsNC Dinos
New York YankeesvsBoston Red SoxToday's previews
Hanshin Tigers vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows prediction: home form edge
Hanshin Tigers are favoured at 57% by the model, a 16-point gap over the market's 73% assessment. The decisive factor is home-ground advantage: Hanshin average 1.55 points per game at Koshien, while Swallows manage just 1.33 away. Form cuts both ways—Hanshin have won one straight and three of five, but Swallows have lost their last match and won only one of their past five outings.
Doosan Bears vs NC Dinos prediction: Elo edge meets form reversal
NC Dinos arrive in Seoul as narrow favourites despite losing their last two matches, backed by a 52% model probability against a Doosan side ranked 53 points higher in Elo and unbeaten in their last outing. The decisive factor will be whether Doosan's superior rating and home record (1.69 points per game) can overcome the Dinos' structural resilience and the model's slight lean toward the visitors—a clash between established strength and statistical momentum.
Selected automatically: big-league fixtures first, then strong model picks, AI-panel coverage and market data. At most 5 per day.
Football predictions today
Premier League, Champions League, LaLiga and more
Football predictions come with three-way probabilities (home, draw, away), an over/under 2.5 goals lean and a handicap line. Each league page lists the coming week's fixtures with the model's recent hit rate for that competition.
NBA · MLB · NHL predictions
Two-way win probabilities for US leagues
Basketball, baseball and hockey have no draw, so the prediction is a single win probability per side. Baseball uses a Poisson runs model with the listed starters; basketball and hockey use Elo win expectancy with home advantage.
Win probability, explained
A 50/50 match stays 50/50.
Most prediction sites show 85% or 90% confidence on single picks. The maths does not support that. A clear favourite in the Premier League wins roughly two matches in three, and a tight derby is close to a coin flip once the draw is counted. Our probabilities are calibrated to the real variance of each sport, and the calibration is checked on the accuracy page. When the model disagrees with the bookmaker market we show both numbers and the gap, so you can see where the edge is supposed to be.
54% match-winner accuracy over 10,510 graded fixtures
FAQ
Questions people ask about sports predictions
What is an AI sports prediction?
A probability for each outcome of a match, produced by a statistical model rather than a pundit. On this site the model combines Elo team ratings with margin of victory, a Dixon-Coles goal model for football and market-implied odds with the bookmaker margin removed.
How accurate are the predictions?
It depends on the league. Match-winner accuracy across graded fixtures is published on the accuracy page and updated as results come in. A 55% hit rate in football is normal because draws are hard to call. We show the real number, not a marketing one.
Which sports and leagues are covered?
Football (Premier League, LaLiga, Bundesliga, Serie A, Ligue 1, Champions League, MLS, K League 1), basketball (NBA), baseball (MLB, KBO, NPB) and ice hockey (NHL).
Why only a few matches per day?
We publish the handful of fixtures where the model, the market and the AI panel all have something to say. Bulk-generated pages for every kick-off add noise and nothing else. Every other fixture is still listed on the today page.
Is this a betting tips service?
No. There are no tips, no VIP plans and no bonus offers. Probabilities are shown so you can judge a match for yourself. A prediction can be wrong on any single game.
Do I need an account?
No. Everything on the site is free and open, including the full accuracy record.