AI sports predictions for today's key matches
Win probabilities for football, NBA, MLB and NHL from a calibrated statistical model, checked against the market and a panel of AI models. Every pick is timestamped before kick-off and graded on the result.
Today's key matches
The 5 fixtures worth your attention
AS RomavsGenoa
Estac TroyesvsLens
Winnipeg JetsvsCarolina Hurricanes
BrightonvsCrystal Palace
LeedsvsManchester United
Today's previews
AS Roma vs Genoa prediction: home form meets away collapse
AS Roma are heavy favourites at 73% model probability, a 12-point gap over the market's 61% assessment. The decisive factor is Genoa's catastrophic away record—0 points from 2 matches—against Roma's fortress home form of 2 wins and 1 draw. Roma's unbeaten run and superior squad depth should prevail despite significant injury absences on both sides.
Troyes vs Lens prediction: away form meets home crisis
Lens arrives as clear favourites at 54% to win, a gap of 32 percentage points over struggling Troyes, yet both sides arrive wounded by injury and inconsistency. The decisive factor is Troyes' catastrophic home record—0 wins in 3 matches—colliding with Lens's own away struggles, creating a match where neither team inspires confidence but one has the quality to prevail.
Winnipeg Jets vs Carolina Hurricanes prediction: Hurricanes' form too strong to ignore
Carolina Hurricanes arrive in Winnipeg as decisive favourites, with the model assigning them a 69% win probability against a Jets side struggling for consistency. The Hurricanes' six-game winning streak, combined with their superior Elo rating of 1732 versus Winnipeg's 1443, reflects a substantial quality gap. Everything hinges on whether Winnipeg can generate enough offence at home to trouble a visiting defence that has conceded just 2.2 goals per game across their last five matches.
Brighton vs Crystal Palace prediction: home form meets injury crisis
Brighton are clear favourites at 65% model probability, a 2-point edge over the market's 63%, but their lengthy injury list—including five outfield players—will test whether their unbeaten run can survive a Palace side that has steadied itself with two games without defeat. The deciding factor is whether Brighton's superior home record (2.33 points per game) and attacking output (2.8 goals per game in their last five) can overcome the defensive strain of missing key personnel against a Crystal Palace team that has tightened up defensively in recent matches.
Leeds vs Manchester United prediction: Injury chaos favours the draw
Manchester United arrive at Elland Road as marginal favourites in the market, but the model sees this as a genuine coin flip between the hosts and visitors, with both sides hamstrung by injury and inconsistency. Leeds' defensive crisis—six players unavailable including centre-backs Rodon and James—collides with Manchester United's own absences across midfield and attack, making this a match where neither team can impose their best self. The deciding factor is form: Manchester United have drawn their last two games and remain unbeaten in five, whilst Leeds have lost one of their last five and sit lower in the table despite playing at home, where they have won just once in three outings this season.
Selected automatically: big-league fixtures first, then strong model picks, AI-panel coverage and market data. At most 5 per day.
Football predictions today
Premier League, Champions League, LaLiga and more
Football predictions come with three-way probabilities (home, draw, away), an over/under 2.5 goals lean and a handicap line. Each league page lists the coming week's fixtures with the model's recent hit rate for that competition.
NBA · MLB · NHL predictions
Two-way win probabilities for US leagues
Basketball, baseball and hockey have no draw, so the prediction is a single win probability per side. Baseball uses a Poisson runs model with the listed starters; basketball and hockey use Elo win expectancy with home advantage.
Win probability, explained
A 50/50 match stays 50/50.
Most prediction sites show 85% or 90% confidence on single picks. The maths does not support that. A clear favourite in the Premier League wins roughly two matches in three, and a tight derby is close to a coin flip once the draw is counted. Our probabilities are calibrated to the real variance of each sport, and the calibration is checked on the accuracy page. When the model disagrees with the bookmaker market we show both numbers and the gap, so you can see where the edge is supposed to be.
54% match-winner accuracy over 10,795 graded fixtures
FAQ
Questions people ask about sports predictions
What is an AI sports prediction?
A probability for each outcome of a match, produced by a statistical model rather than a pundit. On this site the model combines Elo team ratings with margin of victory, a Dixon-Coles goal model for football and market-implied odds with the bookmaker margin removed.
How accurate are the predictions?
It depends on the league. Match-winner accuracy across graded fixtures is published on the accuracy page and updated as results come in. A 55% hit rate in football is normal because draws are hard to call. We show the real number, not a marketing one.
Which sports and leagues are covered?
Football (Premier League, LaLiga, Bundesliga, Serie A, Ligue 1, Champions League, MLS, K League 1), basketball (NBA), baseball (MLB, KBO, NPB) and ice hockey (NHL).
Why only a few matches per day?
We publish the handful of fixtures where the model, the market and the AI panel all have something to say. Bulk-generated pages for every kick-off add noise and nothing else. Every other fixture is still listed on the today page.
Is this a betting tips service?
No. There are no tips, no VIP plans and no bonus offers. Probabilities are shown so you can judge a match for yourself. A prediction can be wrong on any single game.
Do I need an account?
No. Everything on the site is free and open, including the full accuracy record.