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NHL

Pittsburgh PenguinsvsDallas Stars

Final 2-1Prediction hit

Scorebase model · match winner

Pittsburgh Penguins 53%Dallas Stars 47%

Pick Pittsburgh Penguins win 53%

Market-implied (vig removed)

Pittsburgh Penguins 35% · Dallas Stars 57%(model +18 pts vs market)

Handicap

Dallas Stars +1.5 73%

AI panel

What each model picked

Match winner

  • Scorebase ModelDallas Stars 52%✗
  • GPT-5.6 SolDallas Stars 61%✗
  • Gemini 2.5 FlashDallas Stars 58%✗
  • Kimi K3Dallas Stars 52%✗
  • Claude Haiku 4.5 (retired)Dallas Stars 58%✗
  • Grok 4.1 Fast (retired)Dallas Stars 52%✗
  • Qwen 2.5 32B (retired)Dallas Stars 65%✗

Handicap

  • Scorebase ModelDallas Stars +1.5 72%✓
  • GPT-5.6 SolDallas Stars +1.5 68%✓
  • Gemini 2.5 FlashDallas Stars +1.5 58%✓
  • Kimi K3Dallas Stars +1.5 60%✓
  • Claude Haiku 4.5 (retired)Dallas Stars +1.5 56%✓
  • Grok 4.1 Fast (retired)Dallas Stars +1.5 54%✓
  • Qwen 2.5 32B (retired)Dallas Stars +1.5 72%✓

Over / under

  • Scorebase ModelOver 5.5 67%✗
  • GPT-5.6 SolUnder 5.5 54%✓
  • Gemini 2.5 FlashUnder 5.5 55%✓
  • Kimi K3Over 5.5 55%✗
  • Grok 4.1 Fast (retired)Under 5.5 55%✓
  • Qwen 2.5 32B (retired)Over 5.5 60%✗