NHL

Washington CapitalsvsPittsburgh Penguins

Final 5-3Prediction hit

Scorebase model · match winner

Washington Capitals 53%Pittsburgh Penguins 47%

Pick Washington Capitals win 53%

Market-implied (vig removed)

Washington Capitals 55% · Pittsburgh Penguins 37%(model -2 pts vs market)

Handicap

Pittsburgh Penguins +1.5 72%

AI panel

What each model picked

Match winner

  • GPT-5.6 SolWashington Capitals 56%✓
  • Gemini 2.5 FlashWashington Capitals 58%✓
  • Kimi K3Washington Capitals 56%✓
  • Claude Haiku 4.5 (retired)Washington Capitals 58%✓
  • Grok 4.1 Fast (retired)Washington Capitals 54%✓
  • Qwen 2.5 32B (retired)Washington Capitals 72%✓

Handicap

  • Scorebase ModelPittsburgh Penguins +1.5 72%✗
  • GPT-5.6 SolPittsburgh Penguins +1.5 64%✗
  • Kimi K3Pittsburgh Penguins +1.5 57%✗
  • Claude Haiku 4.5 (retired)Washington Capitals -1.5 56%✓
  • Grok 4.1 Fast (retired)Washington Capitals -1.5 52%✓
  • Qwen 2.5 32B (retired)Pittsburgh Penguins +1.5 55%✗

Over / under

  • Scorebase ModelOver 5.5 67%✓
  • GPT-5.6 SolUnder 5.5 54%✗
  • Kimi K3Under 5.5 53%✗
  • Claude Haiku 4.5 (retired)Over 5.5 62%✓
  • Grok 4.1 Fast (retired)Over 5.5 53%✓
  • Qwen 2.5 32B (retired)Over 5.5 65%✓