SPORTSPREDICTIONS
NHL

Tampa Bay LightningvsWashington Capitals

Final 3-1Prediction missed

Scorebase model · match winner

Tampa Bay Lightning 49%Washington Capitals 51%

Pick Washington Capitals win 51%

Market-implied (vig removed)

Tampa Bay Lightning 59% · Washington Capitals 32%(model +19 pts vs market)

Handicap

Washington Capitals +1.5 69%

Go deeper on Scorebase

Tampa Bay Lightning team pageWashington Capitals team pageNHL season projections

AI panel

What each model picked

Match winner

  • GPT-5.6 SolTampa Bay Lightning 57%✓
  • Gemini 2.5 FlashTampa Bay Lightning 61%✓
  • Kimi K3Tampa Bay Lightning 58%✓
  • Claude Haiku 4.5 (retired)Tampa Bay Lightning 62%✓
  • Grok 4.1 Fast (retired)Tampa Bay Lightning 55%✓
  • Qwen 2.5 32B (retired)Tampa Bay Lightning 65%✓

Handicap

  • Scorebase ModelWashington Capitals +1.5 68%✗
  • GPT-5.6 SolWashington Capitals +1.5 64%✗
  • Kimi K3Washington Capitals +1.5 56%✗
  • Claude Haiku 4.5 (retired)Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5 60%✓
  • Grok 4.1 Fast (retired)Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5 52%✓
  • Qwen 2.5 32B (retired)Washington Capitals +1.5 55%✗

Over / under

  • Scorebase ModelOver 5.5 63%✗
  • GPT-5.6 SolUnder 5.5 56%✓
  • Kimi K3Under 5.5 55%✓
  • Claude Haiku 4.5 (retired)Over 5.5 64%✗
  • Grok 4.1 Fast (retired)Over 5.5 53%✗
  • Qwen 2.5 32B (retired)Over 5.5 60%✗