NPB

Hiroshima Toyo CarpvsYomiuri Giants

Final 3-1Prediction missed

Scorebase model · match winner

Hiroshima Toyo Carp 45%Yomiuri Giants 55%

Pick Yomiuri Giants win 55%

Market-implied (vig removed)

Hiroshima Toyo Carp 49% · Yomiuri Giants 51%(model +4 pts vs market)

Handicap

Yomiuri Giants +1.5 71%

AI panel

What each model picked

Match winner

  • Scorebase ModelYomiuri Giants 55%✗
  • GPT-5.6Yomiuri Giants 69%✗
  • ClaudeYomiuri Giants 72%✗
  • GrokYomiuri Giants 58%✗
  • GeminiYomiuri Giants 65%✗
  • Kimi K3Yomiuri Giants 63%✗

Handicap

  • Scorebase ModelYomiuri Giants +1.5 71%✗
  • GPT-5.6Yomiuri Giants +1.5 78%✗
  • ClaudeYomiuri Giants +1.5 68%✗
  • GrokYomiuri Giants +1.5 55%✗
  • GeminiYomiuri Giants +1.5 58%✗
  • Kimi K3Yomiuri Giants +1.5 55%✗

Over / under

  • Scorebase ModelUnder 8.5 85%✓
  • GPT-5.6Under 8.5 67%✓
  • ClaudeUnder 8.5 62%✓
  • GrokUnder 8.5 52%✓
  • GeminiUnder 8.5 60%✓
  • Kimi K3Under 8.5 54%✓