Ligue 1

MonacovsToulouse

Final 2-2Prediction missed

Scorebase model · match winner

Monaco 59%Draw 24%Toulouse 17%

Pick Monaco win 59%

Market-implied (vig removed)

Monaco 60% · Draw 22% · Toulouse 18%(model -1 pts vs market)

Total goals 2.5

Over 2.5 66%

Handicap

Toulouse +0.5 55%

AI panel

What each model picked

Match winner

  • Scorebase ModelMonaco 61%✗
  • GPT-5.6 SolMonaco 68%✗
  • Gemini 2.5 FlashMonaco 65%✗
  • Kimi K3Monaco 62%✗
  • Claude Haiku 4.5 (retired)Monaco 68%✗
  • Grok 4.1 Fast (retired)Monaco 68%✗
  • Qwen 2.5 32B (retired)Monaco 75%✗

Handicap

  • Scorebase ModelToulouse +0.5 55%✓
  • GPT-5.6 SolMonaco -0.5 68%✗
  • Kimi K3Monaco -0.5 61%✗
  • Claude Haiku 4.5 (retired)Monaco -0.5 66%✗
  • Grok 4.1 Fast (retired)Monaco -0.5 62%✗
  • Qwen 2.5 32B (retired)Monaco -0.5 65%✗

Over / under

  • Scorebase ModelOver 2.5 66%✓
  • GPT-5.6 SolOver 2.5 55%✓
  • Kimi K3Over 2.5 55%✓
  • Claude Haiku 4.5 (retired)Over 2.5 56%✓
  • Grok 4.1 Fast (retired)Over 2.5 55%✓
  • Qwen 2.5 32B (retired)Under 2.5 55%✗