Serie A

GenoavsFiorentina

Final 2-1Prediction missed

Scorebase model · match winner

Genoa 30%Draw 27%Fiorentina 43%

Pick Fiorentina win 43%

Market-implied (vig removed)

Genoa 29% · Draw 29% · Fiorentina 42%(model +1 pts vs market)

Total goals 2.5

Over 2.5 53%

Handicap

Fiorentina +0.5 61%

AI panel

What each model picked

Match winner

  • Scorebase ModelFiorentina 39%✗
  • GPT-5.6Fiorentina 52%✗
  • GrokFiorentina 57%✗
  • GeminiFiorentina 45%✗
  • Kimi K3Fiorentina 44%✗

Handicap

  • Scorebase ModelFiorentina +0.5 61%✗
  • GPT-5.6Fiorentina +0.5 66%✗
  • ClaudeFiorentina +0.5 53%✗
  • GrokFiorentina +0.5 54%✗
  • GeminiFiorentina +0.5 55%✗
  • Kimi K3Fiorentina +0.5 58%✗
  • Qwen 2.5Fiorentina +0.5 65%✗

Over / under

  • Scorebase ModelOver 2.5 53%✓
  • GPT-5.6Over 2.5 55%✓
  • ClaudeUnder 2.5 56%✗
  • GrokUnder 2.5 56%✗
  • GeminiUnder 2.5 60%✗
  • Kimi K3Over 2.5 52%✓
  • Qwen 2.5Under 2.5 60%✗