Premier League

Manchester UnitedvsManchester City

Final 0-1Prediction hit

Scorebase model · match winner

Manchester United 35%Draw 25%Manchester City 41%

Pick Manchester City win 41%

Market-implied (vig removed)

Manchester United 31% · Draw 25% · Manchester City 44%(model -4 pts vs market)

Total goals 2.5

Over 2.5 67%

Handicap

Manchester City +0.5 66%

AI panel

What each model picked

Match winner

  • Scorebase ModelManchester City 41%
  • GPT-5.6Manchester City 52%
  • ClaudeManchester City 58%
  • GrokManchester City 54%
  • GeminiManchester City 58%
  • Kimi K3Manchester City 42%
  • Qwen 2.5Manchester City 58%

Handicap

  • Scorebase ModelManchester City +0.5 66%
  • GPT-5.6Manchester City +0.5 64%
  • ClaudeManchester City +0.5 56%
  • GrokManchester City +0.5 53%
  • GeminiManchester City +0.5 58%
  • Kimi K3Manchester City +0.5 58%
  • Qwen 2.5Manchester City +0.5 55%

Over / under

  • Scorebase ModelOver 2.5 67%
  • GPT-5.6Over 2.5 62%
  • ClaudeUnder 2.5 54%
  • GrokOver 2.5 55%
  • GeminiOver 2.5 58%
  • Kimi K3Over 2.5 55%
  • Qwen 2.5Over 2.5 53%