Premier League

LeedsvsNewcastle

Final 4-1Prediction hit

Scorebase model · match winner

Leeds 44%Draw 26%Newcastle 31%

Pick Leeds win 44%

Market-implied (vig removed)

Leeds 41% · Draw 27% · Newcastle 32%(model +3 pts vs market)

Total goals 2.5

Over 2.5 60%

Handicap

Newcastle +0.5 61%

AI panel

What each model picked

Match winner

  • Scorebase ModelLeeds 44%
  • GPT-5.6Leeds 43%
  • GrokLeeds 54%
  • GeminiLeeds 52%
  • Kimi K3Leeds 45%

Handicap

  • Scorebase ModelNewcastle +0.5 61%
  • GPT-5.6Newcastle +0.5 57%
  • ClaudeLeeds -0.5 52%
  • GrokLeeds -0.5 52%
  • GeminiLeeds -0.5 53%
  • Kimi K3Leeds -0.5 45%
  • Qwen 2.5Newcastle +0.5 58%

Over / under

  • Scorebase ModelOver 2.5 60%
  • GPT-5.6Under 2.5 56%
  • ClaudeUnder 2.5 56%
  • GrokUnder 2.5 53%
  • GeminiUnder 2.5 55%
  • Kimi K3Under 2.5 52%
  • Qwen 2.5Under 2.5 65%